Two Economists: Keynes (propaganda) Vs. Hayek (truth)
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Lord Keynes! Welcome sir, it's a pleasure
Pleasure's all mine
Your agenda
That won't be necessary, I am the agenda...
Tell them I've arrived
And them tell them I've arrived
And your name is?
Hayek
F.A. Hayek
with an H
Freddie
Yes?
It's Keynes
Hey listen, party at the Fed
Already?
20 minutes
Lobby
John Maynard Keynes
F.A. Hayek
Yeah, we're opposed
We oppose each other philosophically
In the same studio...
We've been going back and forth for a century
I want to steer markets
I want them set free
There's a boom & bust cycle and good reason to fear it
Blame low interest rates!
No, it's the "animal spirits"
John Maynard Keynes wrote the book on modern Macro
the man you need when the economy's off-track
Depression? Recession? Now your question's in session
have a seat and I'll school you in one simple lesson...
Boom! 1929, the big crash...
we didn't bounce back, economy's in the trash
persistent unemployment the result of "sticky wages"
Waiting for recovery? That's outrageous!
I had a real plan any fool can understand
the advice real simple: boost Aggregate Demand!
C + I + G all together gets to Y
keep that total growing, watch the economy fly
We've been going back and forth for a century
I want to steer markets
I want them set free
There's a boom & bust cycle and good reason to fear it
Blame low interest rates!
No, it's the "animal spirits"
You see it's all about spending hear the register cha-ching!
circular flow, the dough is everything
so if that flow is getting low
doesn't matter the reason, we need more government spending
now it's stimulus season!
So forget about saving, get it straight out of your head
like I've said in the long run...
we're all dead!
Savings is destruction, that's the "paradox of thrift"
don't keep money in your pocket or that growth will never lift because...
business is driven by the "animal spirits"
the bull and the bear and there's reasons to fear its...
effects on capital investment, income & growth
that’s why the State should fill the gap with stimulus both…
the monetary and the fiscal, they're equally correct
public works, digging ditches, war has the same effect
Even a broken window helps the glass man have some wealth...
the multiplier driving higher the economy's health
And if the Central Bank's interest rate policy TANKS...
a "liquidity trap", that new money's stuck in the banks!
deficits could be the cure, you've been looking for
let the spending soar, now that you know the score
My General Theory's made quite an impression
I've transformed the Econ profession
You know me, modesty, still I'm taking a vow...
so say it loud and say it proud: "We're all Keynesians now!"
We've been going back and forth for a century
I want to steer markets
I want them set free
There's a boom & bust cycle and good reason to fear it
I've made my case Freddie H. Listen up, can you hear it?
I'll begin in broad strokes, just like my friend Keynes
His theory conceals the mechanics of change
That simple equation, too much aggregation
ignores Human Action, and motivation
And yet it continues as a justification
for bailouts and payoffs by "pols" with machinations
You provide them with cover to sell us a free lunch...
then all that we're left with is DEBT & a bunch!
If you're living high on that cheap credit hog...
don't look for cure from the hair of the dog
Real savings come first if you want to invest...
the market coordinates Time with Interest
Your focus on spending is pushing on thread...
in the long run my friend, it's your theory that's dead
So sorry there buddy, if that sounds like invective
Prepare to get schooled in my Austrian perspective
We've been going back and forth for a century
I want to steer markets
I want them set free!
There's a boom & bust cycle and good reason to fear it
Blame low interest rates! --Nah! It's the "animal spirits"!
The place you should study isn't the bust
It's the boom that should make you feel leery...
that's the thrust of my theory!
The capital structure is key. Malinvestments wreck the economy...
The boom gets started with an expansion of credit
The Fed sets rates low, you starting to get it?
That new money is confused for real, loanable funds...
but it's just inflation that's driving the ones...
who invest in new projects, like housing construction
The boom plants the seeds for its future destruction
The savings aren't real; consumption's up too...
And the grasping for resources reveals there's too few!
So the boom turns to bust as the interest rates rise
For the costs of production, price signals were lies!
The boom was a binge, that's a matter of fact
Now it's devalued capital that makes up the slack
Whether it's the late 1920's or 2005...
booming bad investments seems like they thrive
You must SAVE to INVEST, don't use the printing press!
Or a bust will surely follow, an economy depressed
Your so-called "stimulus" will make things worse...
just more of the same, more incentives perverse
And that credit crunch? Ain't no "liquidity trap"...
just a broke banking system, I'm done that's a wrap!
We've been going back and forth for a century
I want to steer markets
I want them set free
There's a boom & bust cycle and good reasons to fear it
Blame low interest rates!
No, it's the "animal spirits"...
[ Subtitles by JLA ]
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